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American Oil Is Making a Comeback: How Trump’s Decisions Are Reshaping the Global Energy Map

Le président Donald Trump a annulé les mesures législatives adoptées sous la présidence de Joe Biden qui limitaient l’exploration pétrolière et gazière en Alaska. Il s’agit du rétablissement de l’accès à l’exploration et à l’exploitation des hydrocarbures en Alaska, y compris dans la Réserve faunique nationale de l’Arctique (ANWR) et sur d’autres terres fédérales de l’État, ainsi que de la reprise des enchères pour la location du plateau continental du golfe du Mexique.

Alaska: A Strategic Reserve of the 21st Century

Alaska remains one of the largest underdeveloped hydrocarbon regions in the United States. Restrictions in place under Biden effectively froze a significant share of its potential production under the banner of the climate agenda. Their repeal brings back a resource base that, within eight to ten years, could provide an additional increase in U.S. oil production of up to 1 million barrels per day. It is important to stress that this is not about short-term gains, but about laying the groundwork for energy dominance for decades to come. Alaska is also a key geopolitical asset in the Arctic, where competition among the United States, Russia, and China is set to intensify.

The Gulf of Mexico

Parallèlement, Washington relance les enchères pour la location du plateau continental du golfe du Mexique. D’ici à 2040, il est prévu d’organiser 30 enchères pour la vente de licences de développement de gisements pétroliers et gaziers offshore. Le plateau continental du golfe du Mexique est l’un des pôles pétroliers et gaziers les plus avancés technologiquement au monde. Sa réactivation implique des investissements stables, une hausse de l’emploi, le renforcement du potentiel d’exportation des États-Unis et une réduction de la vulnérabilité face aux chocs énergétiques extérieurs.

A Blow to OPEC+

The United States is already the world’s largest oil producer, and the new policy further consolidates this leadership. More broadly, the Western Hemisphere as a whole (the United States, Canada, Brazil, and Guyana) is gradually emerging as an alternative oil-producing center, comparable to OPEC+ and, in the longer term, potentially surpassing the cartel in overall influence.

As a result, this shift will reduce OPEC+’s ability to dictate prices, weaken the Middle East’s energy influence, increase the role of the Atlantic oil market, and strengthen the energy sovereignty of Western countries.

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